Arrivederci Nembo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Italian): 15
Defender wins (Canadian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 961 | 58% | 2024-12-21 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-09-15 | | Won |
| 961 | 923 | 55% | 2024-07-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 961 | 56% | 2024-04-27 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-01-19 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-10-21 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-16 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1002 | 54% | 2020-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-03-26 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1139 | 32% | 2020-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2020-02-06 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2017-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2014-04-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2014-02-11 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2014-02-11 | | Won |
| 1088 | 987 | 64% | 2013-11-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-10-30 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1032.9 vs 1017.2 has a 52.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).