Arrivederci Nembo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (19 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 25
Defender wins (Canadian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 962 | 57% | 2024-12-21 | Won |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2024-09-15 | Won |
| 962 | 927 | 55% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1115 | 1057 | 58% | 2024-01-19 | Won |
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1047 | 51% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
| 1036 | 860 | 73% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 996 | 1036 | 44% | 2020-04-15 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1164 | 47% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1142 | 32% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
| 860 | 973 | 34% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 982 | 53% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1045 | 1016 | 54% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 998 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 1024 | 986 | 55% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 1302 | 25% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1024 vs 1028.8 has a 49.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).