Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (27 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 59
Defender wins (German (SS)): 74
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1229 | 30% | 2025-09-27 | Won |
| 950 | 1028 | 39% | 2025-09-27 | Lost |
| 1256 | 945 | 86% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1018 | 53% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 982 | 780 | 76% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 950 | 1055 | 35% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 979 | 1283 | 15% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1143 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 946 | 70% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1064 | 60% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 975 | 62% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1056 | 1027 | 54% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1006 | 1117 | 35% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1125 | 902 | 78% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1024 | 1030 | 49% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1027 | 891 | 69% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 980 | 1118 | 31% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1111 | 69% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1034 | 56% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 994 | 42% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1130 | 1140 | 49% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2011-07-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 919 | 76% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1077.1 vs 1053.3 has a 53.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).