Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (17 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 52
Defender wins (German (SS)): 65
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 718 | 88% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1130 | 952 | 74% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1128 | 976 | 71% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1068 | 1072 | 49% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1105 | 955 | 70% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1084 | 1163 | 39% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1072 | 888 | 74% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 937 | 1190 | 19% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1111 | 76% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1044 | 1100 | 42% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1037 | 56% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 938 | 980 | 44% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 982 | 911 | 60% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063.8 vs 1014.2 has a 57.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).