Coiled to Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (13 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2026-06-26 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1072 | 10% | 2024-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1228 | 1159 | 60% | 2023-04-10 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1067 | 53% | 2021-03-14 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2017-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2013-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-05-24 | | Won |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2012-03-07 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1031 | 74% | 2011-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1063.8 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).