The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1113 | 57% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1188 | 1107 | 61% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 885 | 72% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1039 | 964 | 61% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1053 | 1208 | 29% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 999 | 1018 | 47% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1231 | 28% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1106.1 vs 1076.9 has a 54.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).