The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1162 | 1162 | 50% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1187 | 1096 | 63% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 998 | 67% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1028 | 909 | 66% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1169 | 1146 | 53% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 1061 | 1019 | 56% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1329 | 21% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1115 | 56% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1124.6 vs 1085.2 has a 55.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).