The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 1189 | 17% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1187 | 1108 | 61% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 884 | 71% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 988 | 53% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1053 | 1208 | 29% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1018 | 47% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1234 | 27% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1081.1 vs 1088.2 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).