The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1079 | 1093 | 48% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1079 | 966 | 66% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1034 | 927 | 65% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1158 | 52% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 988 | 1072 | 38% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1302 | 23% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1161 | 47% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1103.2 vs 1084.5 has a 52.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).