The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1177 | 50% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1185 | 1109 | 61% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 903 | 74% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1020 | 950 | 60% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1067 | 1143 | 39% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 1053 | 1018 | 55% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1274 | 24% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1116.4 vs 1085.1 has a 54.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).