The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1076 | 50% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1188 | 1107 | 61% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 965 | 68% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1081 | 951 | 68% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1045 | 1165 | 33% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1018 | 52% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1109 | 60% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1108 vs 1073.3 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).