The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1199 | 1187 | 52% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1185 | 1107 | 61% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 891 | 73% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1020 | 940 | 61% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1167 | 971 | 76% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1175 | 1143 | 55% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 1044 | 1018 | 54% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1333 | 18% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1106 | 1025 | 61% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1122.4 vs 1086.9 has a 55.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).