Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 866 | 82% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1080 | 38% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1161 | 1002 | 71% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1037 | 927 | 65% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 983 | 1057 | 40% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 826 | 81% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 993 | 890 | 64% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 1095 | 67% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2015-09-16 | Lost |
| 1066 | 866 | 76% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
| 876 | 1060 | 26% | 2013-08-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 876 | 74% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 1149 | 947 | 76% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 866 | 76% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1043 | 40% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1203 | 1223 | 47% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2012-09-19 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1223 | 35% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1128 | 33% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1071 | 69% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1120 | 62% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
| 884 | 1000 | 34% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1011.3 has a 58.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).