ASL Scenario Archive

Gabriel's Horn

Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (30 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German): 48

Defender wins (American): 46

With balance for the attacker (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 1

Defender wins (American): 0

With balance for the defender (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 0

Defender wins (American): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Balance	Outcome
1000	848	71%	2024-10-31		Lost
1004	1080	39%	2024-10-22	A	Won
1193	1037	71%	2024-10-14		Won
1051	1000	57%	2023-04-08	D	Lost
1031	1057	46%	2022-02-02		Won
1218	983	79%	2020-09-16		Lost
1000	983	52%	2020-09-15		Lost
1088	1000	62%	2019-11-10		Won
1075	1000	61%	2018-05-18		Lost
1000	973	54%	2017-05-23		Lost
1123	850	83%	2016-09-24		Lost
993	891	64%	2016-06-17		Won
1218	1000	78%	2016-04-21		Won
1000	1074	40%	2015-09-16		Lost
1066	848	78%	2014-02-23		Won
1120	1009	65%	2014-01-03		Won
876	1074	24%	2013-08-01		Lost
1074	876	76%	2013-07-13		Won
1150	1000	70%	2013-04-11		Lost
1066	848	78%	2013-02-23		Won
1000	1071	40%	2012-11-28		Won
1063	1000	59%	2012-10-02		Won
1000	1219	22%	2012-10-01		Lost
1141	1000	69%	2012-09-19		Lost
1000	1219	22%	2012-08-14		Lost
1000	1146	30%	2012-07-27		Won
1035	969	59%	2012-06-12		Lost
1205	1060	70%	2012-03-16		Lost
1000	1120	33%	2011-12-30		Lost
966	1000	45%	2011-06-20		Lost

Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1007.8 has a 57.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).