Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 889 | 86% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1080 | 42% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1201 | 1015 | 74% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1007 | 934 | 60% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1056 | 58% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1167 | 824 | 88% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
| 1154 | 853 | 85% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 992 | 890 | 64% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1217 | 1094 | 67% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-09-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 889 | 73% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
| 1122 | 1007 | 66% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
| 882 | 1068 | 26% | 2013-08-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 882 | 74% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 1063 | 889 | 73% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
| 1019 | 1067 | 43% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 979 | 58% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1201 | 1340 | 31% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1183 | 45% | 2012-09-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1340 | 21% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1078 | 40% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1038 | 75% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1122 | 61% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
| 879 | 984 | 35% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1085.8 vs 1019.5 has a 59.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).