Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (19 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (American): 45
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
938 | 932 | 51% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
997 | 980 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
1109 | 870 | 80% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
1008 | 887 | 67% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
1284 | 1097 | 75% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
1057 | 890 | 72% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
1057 | 890 | 72% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
1025 | 1068 | 44% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
1087 | 980 | 65% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
1202 | 1307 | 35% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
1112 | 1307 | 25% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
1001 | 1008 | 49% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
1030 | 965 | 59% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
959 | 1022 | 41% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1002.2 has a 59.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).