Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 879 | 84% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1081 | 39% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1172 | 1016 | 71% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1020 | 928 | 63% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1057 | 52% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1102 | 826 | 83% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
| 1139 | 851 | 84% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 992 | 891 | 64% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1217 | 1094 | 67% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-09-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 879 | 74% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
| 1123 | 1008 | 66% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
| 875 | 1068 | 25% | 2013-08-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 875 | 75% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 1064 | 879 | 74% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
| 1019 | 1071 | 43% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1201 | 1252 | 43% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2012-09-19 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1252 | 31% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1098 | 37% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1036 | 969 | 60% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1123 | 61% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
| 879 | 984 | 35% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1079.7 vs 1016.4 has a 59.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).