Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 873 | 82% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1044 | 46% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1142 | 1033 | 65% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 932 | 60% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1057 | 51% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1194 | 844 | 88% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
| 1128 | 858 | 83% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 992 | 890 | 64% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1219 | 1094 | 67% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2015-09-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 873 | 75% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
| 1107 | 1007 | 64% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
| 881 | 1050 | 27% | 2013-08-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 881 | 73% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 1062 | 873 | 75% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
| 1019 | 1067 | 43% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 979 | 60% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1202 | 1329 | 32% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1182 | 46% | 2012-09-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1329 | 22% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1060 | 43% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1034 | 969 | 59% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1182 | 994 | 75% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1107 | 63% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
| 998 | 984 | 52% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1013.3 has a 59.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).