Smoke 'Em
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-12-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 962 | 56% | 2015-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-03-25 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2012-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1012 | 68% | 2011-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1026.7 has a 56.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).