Rude Mood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Free French): 5
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 939 | 1082 | 31% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1014 | 63% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 893 | 75% | 2015-06-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 977 | 55% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1005 | 981 | 53% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1001 | 789 | 77% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1025 | 56% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1009 | 1110 | 36% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1186 | 68% | 2012-07-14 | Won |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2012-05-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1018 | 60% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 1040 | 972 | 60% | 2012-03-03 | Lost |
| 1040 | 972 | 60% | 2012-03-03 | Lost |
| 1040 | 972 | 60% | 2012-03-03 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1045 | 52% | 2012-02-19 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1017 | 65% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1014.2 has a 56.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).