Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 1023 | 79% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 1248 | 1023 | 79% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 940 | 864 | 61% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1006 | 1002 | 51% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 908 | 908 | 50% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1028 | 1002 | 54% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1200 | 53% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1091 | 1191 | 36% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 878 | 1248 | 11% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1046 | 55% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1149 | 1063 | 62% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1144 | 43% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 917 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 987 | 1178 | 25% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1119 | 42% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 950 | 766 | 74% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1046.6 has a 52.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).