Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (17 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 56
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1111 | 1111 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
943 | 931 | 52% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
1137 | 1062 | 61% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
1004 | 969 | 55% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
1283 | 1127 | 71% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
1096 | 1104 | 49% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
881 | 1016 | 31% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
1064 | 1088 | 47% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
1115 | 1145 | 46% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
1137 | 1007 | 68% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
988 | 918 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
936 | 936 | 50% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
1091 | 1067 | 53% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
958 | 766 | 75% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1017.6 has a 54.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).