Uncles and Pups
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (43 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/ German (SS)): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 1200 | 38% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1119 | 1176 | 42% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 886 | 891 | 49% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
| 1087 | 729 | 89% | 2022-04-11 | Won |
| 779 | 1028 | 19% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 956 | 1017 | 41% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1124 | 35% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1135 | 1176 | 44% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 964 | 947 | 52% | 2021-04-20 | Tied |
| 1115 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-10-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1219 | 32% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1127 | 857 | 83% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
| 878 | 1052 | 27% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1158 | 57% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2016-06-07 | Lost |
| 978 | 729 | 81% | 2015-04-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2015-02-27 | Lost |
| 890 | 1028 | 31% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 1050 | 881 | 73% | 2014-11-02 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1228 | 46% | 2014-09-01 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1191 | 31% | 2014-05-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2012-07-02 | Won |
| 1017 | 950 | 60% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1143 | 947 | 76% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2012-05-15 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2012-05-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1177 | 25% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 963 | 947 | 52% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 940 | 72% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 940 | 72% | 2010-01-14 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1118 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1032.3 vs 1047.1 has a 47.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).