Uncles and Pups
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (44 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/ German (SS)): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1178 | 41% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1040 | 1053 | 48% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 869 | 891 | 47% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
| 1072 | 755 | 86% | 2022-04-11 | Won |
| 769 | 1018 | 19% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 947 | 1017 | 40% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1223 | 23% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 964 | 975 | 48% | 2021-04-20 | Tied |
| 1125 | 1160 | 45% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 1005 | 50% | 2020-10-04 | Won |
| 1072 | 1218 | 30% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
| 910 | 975 | 41% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 984 | 1158 | 27% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1129 | 1135 | 49% | 2016-06-07 | Lost |
| 984 | 755 | 79% | 2015-04-28 | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2015-02-27 | Lost |
| 890 | 1007 | 34% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 876 | 74% | 2014-11-02 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-09-01 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1064 | 48% | 2014-05-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1093 | 54% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1343 | 11% | 2012-11-10 | Lost |
| 975 | 1131 | 29% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2012-07-02 | Won |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1131 | 975 | 71% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2012-05-15 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2012-05-15 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1174 | 34% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 963 | 943 | 53% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 939 | 74% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1120 | 939 | 74% | 2010-01-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1119 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1049.4 has a 45.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).