Uncles and Pups
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (38 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/ German (SS)): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1158 | 45% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 900 | 891 | 51% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
| 1089 | 831 | 82% | 2022-04-11 | Won |
| 786 | 1041 | 19% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 929 | 1032 | 36% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1121 | 35% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 964 | 748 | 78% | 2021-04-20 | Tied |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2020-10-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 1219 | 32% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
| 846 | 1019 | 27% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1158 | 57% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2016-06-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2015-02-27 | Lost |
| 889 | 1026 | 31% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 1202 | 1228 | 46% | 2014-09-01 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1199 | 30% | 2014-05-07 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
| 1111 | 1096 | 52% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2012-07-02 | Won |
| 899 | 993 | 37% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 963 | 948 | 52% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1110 | 940 | 73% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 940 | 73% | 2010-01-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1118 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1043.2 vs 1045.3 has a 49.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).