Uncles and Pups
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/ German (SS)): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1008 | 48% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-04-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1161 | 28% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2021-04-20 | Tied |
| 1075 | 1085 | 49% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 1053 | 50% | 2020-10-04 | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
| 980 | 918 | 59% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 760 | 1000 | 20% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1003 | 935 | 60% | 2016-06-07 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-02-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1121 | 33% | 2014-09-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2014-05-07 | Lost |
| 1117 | 992 | 67% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
| 1035 | 1034 | 50% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1023 | 959 | 59% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2012-07-02 | Won |
| 834 | 866 | 45% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 959 | 771 | 75% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
| 950 | 963 | 48% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 815 | 815 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1006 | 998 | 51% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1241 | 976 | 82% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1241 | 976 | 82% | 2010-01-14 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1008.4 vs 992.2 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).