HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (20 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1121 | 56% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 789 | 1089 | 15% | 2024-05-28 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1085 | 40% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1089 | 68% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 846 | 1219 | 10% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 1219 | 1117 | 64% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
| 1141 | 922 | 78% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 1202 | 54% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 880 | 914 | 45% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 937 | 73% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 992 | 1068 | 39% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
| 893 | 1121 | 21% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1059.3 has a 47.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).