HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (22 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 756 | 1073 | 14% | 2024-05-28 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1222 | 23% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1073 | 70% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 1218 | 15% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 1218 | 1036 | 74% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
| 1190 | 900 | 84% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
| 1146 | 1117 | 54% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
| 1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1059 | 875 | 74% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 875 | 908 | 45% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 875 | 1140 | 18% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
| 1120 | 945 | 73% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 989 | 965 | 53% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1036.6 vs 1031.3 has a 50.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).