Came Tumbling After
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian ): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian ): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 692 | 91% | 2025-10-14 | A | Lost |
| 1045 | 1090 | 44% | 2025-06-01 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2022-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 886 | 70% | 2020-05-18 | | Won |
| 850 | 1133 | 16% | 2019-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2013-12-10 | | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2012-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2012-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2012-04-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1010.4 has a 52.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).