Island Retreat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (6 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 928 | 50% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 928 | 928 | 50% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-02 | Lost |
| 905 | 894 | 52% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 979 | 918 | 59% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 959 | 1147 | 25% | 2013-07-27 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 949.8 vs 969.2 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).