Island Retreat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (7 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 987 | 49% | 2026-07-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 990 | 1004 | 48% | 2022-01-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 983 | 53% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 959 | 1431 | 6% | 2013-07-27 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 990.9 vs 1053.6 has a 41.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).