Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (6 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 14
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1037 | 35% | 2017-01-27 | Lost |
| 1052 | 892 | 72% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 1046 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 989 | 1023 | 45% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1208 | 1180 | 54% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 1248 | 27% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1071 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).