Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1031 | 36% | 2017-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 893 | 69% | 2016-05-23 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2012-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1059 | 84% | 2012-05-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1224 | 22% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1192 | 28% | 2012-04-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.6 vs 1079.3 has a 47.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).