Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (6 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 14
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 926 | 940 | 48% | 2017-01-27 | Lost |
| 1063 | 889 | 73% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 990 | 947 | 56% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 999 | 1141 | 31% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1027.2 has a 51.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).