Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1031 | 36% | 2017-01-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 893 | 67% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
| 1029 | 1044 | 48% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1059 | 84% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1019 | 46% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1204 | 1237 | 45% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1056 | 1241 | 26% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1081 vs 1074.9 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).