Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 14
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 925 | 967 | 44% | 2017-01-27 | Lost |
| 988 | 890 | 64% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
| 1024 | 1084 | 41% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1009 | 71% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1213 | 1310 | 36% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 983 | 1149 | 28% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1068.2 has a 47.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).