Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 1056 | 77% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1014 | 1276 | 18% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1310 | 1022 | 84% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1157 | 1145 | 52% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1150 | 47% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1132 | 1150 | 47% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1034 | 1086 | 43% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1050 | 43% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1150 | 55% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1036 | 59% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 985 | 60% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1140 | 28% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 900 | 998 | 36% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1106 vs 1087.6 has a 52.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).