Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 997 | 82% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1014 | 1243 | 21% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1316 | 1022 | 84% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1154 | 1145 | 51% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1032 | 70% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1182 | 1032 | 70% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1086 | 42% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1051 | 46% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1032 | 67% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1114 | 1036 | 61% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 987 | 1141 | 29% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 966 | 41% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1114.5 vs 1053.6 has a 58.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).