Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1244 | 1081 | 72% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 999 | 78% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1069 | 1206 | 31% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1310 | 1043 | 82% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1065 | 1145 | 39% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1091 | 963 | 68% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1091 | 1007 | 62% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1062 | 46% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 980 | 1075 | 37% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 943 | 1029 | 38% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1065 | 1036 | 54% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 933 | 1161 | 21% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 946 | 44% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1052.7 has a 52.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).