Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1241 | 1098 | 69% | 2020-12-15 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2020-03-21 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2019-12-31 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1217 | 24% | 2018-07-21 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-04-29 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2016-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-01-13 | | Tied |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-11-15 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1020 | 52% | 2015-11-07 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2013-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2012-12-10 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2012-10-04 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1164 | 49% | 2012-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2012-06-21 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1117.5 vs 1029.9 has a 62.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).