Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1264 | 1041 | 78% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1014 | 1266 | 19% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1310 | 1022 | 84% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1150 | 1145 | 51% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1086 | 42% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 973 | 1051 | 39% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1125 | 1036 | 63% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1141 | 33% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 1007 | 35% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1107 vs 1049.5 has a 58.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).