Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1010 | 74% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1027 | 1242 | 22% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1340 | 1027 | 86% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1110 | 1145 | 45% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1113 | 979 | 68% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1113 | 979 | 68% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1072 | 44% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1049 | 48% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1206 | 979 | 79% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 1169 | 37% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 965 | 1144 | 26% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 919 | 47% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1099.1 vs 1049.4 has a 57.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).