Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1330 | 1057 | 83% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
1283 | 979 | 85% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
1026 | 1159 | 32% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
1323 | 1038 | 84% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
1090 | 1145 | 42% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
1171 | 880 | 84% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
1171 | 880 | 84% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
1033 | 1058 | 46% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
995 | 1054 | 42% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
1045 | 880 | 72% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
1078 | 1051 | 54% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
1046 | 986 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
928 | 1214 | 16% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
900 | 963 | 41% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1101.4 vs 1024.6 has a 60.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).