Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1220 | 1015 | 76% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1263 | 1138 | 67% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1030 | 1220 | 25% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1223 | 1024 | 76% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1121 | 1144 | 47% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1131 | 962 | 73% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1131 | 962 | 73% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1034 | 1042 | 49% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 1048 | 41% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1210 | 962 | 81% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 1171 | 30% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 997 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1228 | 21% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 884 | 52% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1103.3 vs 1051.9 has a 57.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).