Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1002 | 77% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1221 | 982 | 80% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1007 | 1256 | 19% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1333 | 1027 | 85% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 1144 | 44% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1050 | 45% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 805 | 89% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 1169 | 34% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 1140 | 29% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 875 | 54% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1093.1 vs 1011.3 has a 61.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).