Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 20
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1053 | 50% | 2024-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 881 | 68% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1055 | 865 | 75% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1205 | 932 | 83% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 934 | 64% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 944 | 907 | 55% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 934 | 796 | 69% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
| 981 | 901 | 61% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 1044 | 32% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 916 | 1044 | 32% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1182 | 49% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 880 | 909 | 46% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1100 | 918 | 74% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1109 | 29% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1143 | 42% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 944 | 866 | 61% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1182 | 926 | 81% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1067 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1139 | 46% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1139 | 54% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
| 1181 | 1010 | 73% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1068 | 1058 | 51% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1100 | 48% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1114 | 40% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1400 | 16% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
| 979 | 1100 | 33% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1400 | 1114 | 84% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
| 822 | 944 | 33% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1310 | 1183 | 68% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1173 | 1311 | 31% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 932 | 1311 | 10% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1086 | 42% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1138 | 29% | | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1051.4 has a 50.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).