Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 24
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1221 | 1146 | 61% | 2026-05-13 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2024-06-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 928 | 62% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1138 | 999 | 69% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 976 | 58% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 944 | 940 | 51% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 976 | 780 | 76% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
| 989 | 1098 | 35% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 1060 | 30% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1179 | 57% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 875 | 908 | 45% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1120 | 906 | 77% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1344 | 1328 | 52% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 945 | 1090 | 30% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1151 | 40% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 965 | 897 | 60% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1179 | 901 | 83% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
| 1126 | 1028 | 64% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1383 | 20% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 999 | 1070 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1126 | 48% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1126 | 61% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
| 1152 | 1026 | 67% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1088 | 1077 | 52% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1115 | 1025 | 63% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-11-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1101 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1099 | 48% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 965 | 1099 | 32% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1155 | 1435 | 17% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
| 1435 | 1150 | 84% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
| 822 | 965 | 31% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1227 | 1264 | 45% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1179 | 1219 | 44% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 922 | 1219 | 15% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
| 1077 | 1033 | 56% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1223 | 29% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1078 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1077.4 has a 48.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).