Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 23
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2024-06-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 890 | 67% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1066 | 909 | 71% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1131 | 1099 | 55% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 999 | 55% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 943 | 940 | 50% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
| 989 | 1098 | 35% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 1031 | 34% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 916 | 993 | 39% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1208 | 44% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 875 | 908 | 45% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1120 | 906 | 77% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1343 | 1328 | 52% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 958 | 1063 | 35% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 974 | 1151 | 27% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 884 | 910 | 46% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1208 | 900 | 85% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
| 1121 | 1029 | 63% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1384 | 20% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1121 | 49% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1121 | 60% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
| 1172 | 1026 | 70% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1077 | 1003 | 60% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1115 | 1026 | 63% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-11-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1101 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 974 | 1099 | 33% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 965 | 1099 | 32% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1155 | 1430 | 17% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
| 1430 | 1150 | 83% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
| 822 | 884 | 41% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1220 | 1242 | 47% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1179 | 1234 | 42% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 922 | 1234 | 14% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
| 1003 | 1033 | 46% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 1223 | 26% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1071.2 has a 47.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).