Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 20
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2024-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 900 | 65% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1102 | 896 | 77% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1044 | 49% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 943 | 870 | 60% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1044 | 764 | 83% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1098 | 34% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 1087 | 27% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 916 | 997 | 39% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1154 | 47% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 875 | 907 | 45% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1107 | 918 | 75% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1181 | 21% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1143 | 37% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 998 | 846 | 71% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1154 | 912 | 80% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
| 1163 | 996 | 72% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1382 | 21% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 999 | 1067 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1163 | 43% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 1012 | 70% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1067 | 1036 | 54% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1100 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1099 | 43% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 968 | 1099 | 32% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1117 | 1413 | 15% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
| 1413 | 1113 | 85% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
| 823 | 998 | 27% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1242 | 1290 | 43% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1173 | 1329 | 29% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 932 | 1329 | 9% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
| 1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1124 | 49% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1069.2 has a 47.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).