Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (31 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 52
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
1159 | 1016 | 69% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
1000 | 1168 | 28% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
937 | 942 | 49% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
1168 | 806 | 89% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
1058 | 894 | 72% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
916 | 1045 | 32% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
916 | 983 | 40% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
1169 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
881 | 909 | 46% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
976 | 1104 | 32% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
1088 | 1142 | 42% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
958 | 850 | 65% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
1172 | 949 | 78% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
1095 | 1008 | 62% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
1111 | 1095 | 52% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
1136 | 1095 | 56% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
936 | 995 | 42% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
1066 | 1137 | 40% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
979 | 1097 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
1088 | 1105 | 48% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
1106 | 1354 | 19% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
956 | 1105 | 30% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
1354 | 1115 | 80% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
821 | 958 | 31% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
1334 | 1042 | 84% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
1174 | 1292 | 34% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
1093 | 1292 | 24% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
1137 | 1033 | 65% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
1067 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1050 has a 51.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).