Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (43 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 66
Defender wins (German): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1229 | 1133 | 63% | 2026-05-13 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-06-25 | | Won |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2023-12-10 | | Won |
| 1077 | 899 | 74% | 2023-03-19 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-04-16 | | Won |
| 1035 | 949 | 62% | 2022-04-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2022-03-29 | | Won |
| 949 | 780 | 73% | 2021-10-15 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-07-23 | | Lost |
| 916 | 1000 | 38% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2020-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2020-03-20 | | Won |
| 847 | 1000 | 29% | 2019-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 892 | 79% | 2018-05-05 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2017-12-13 | | Won |
| 945 | 1143 | 24% | 2017-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2017-05-20 | | Lost |
| 945 | 909 | 55% | 2016-06-13 | | Won |
| 1205 | 901 | 85% | 2016-03-13 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1024 | 66% | 2015-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2015-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2015-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1136 | 51% | 2015-06-16 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1025 | 65% | 2015-03-30 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2013-11-09 | | Won |
| 1113 | 1034 | 61% | 2013-11-09 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-11-04 | | Won |
| 983 | 1101 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1099 | 37% | 2013-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1108 | 43% | 2013-07-12 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1099 | 31% | 2013-06-16 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1435 | 17% | 2013-06-16 | | Tied |
| 1435 | 1150 | 84% | 2013-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2013-05-19 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2013-03-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2013-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2013-01-11 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-11-15 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-10-01 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2012-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1043.7 has a 51.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).