Getting Your Bell Rung
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 20
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2024-06-25 | Won |
| 1010 | 913 | 64% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1092 | 890 | 76% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 970 | 59% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 943 | 847 | 63% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 970 | 768 | 76% | 2021-10-15 | Won |
| 978 | 1098 | 33% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 1072 | 29% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 916 | 991 | 39% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1141 | 70% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 885 | 909 | 47% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1110 | 920 | 75% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1199 | 20% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1143 | 41% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1007 | 846 | 72% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 922 | 78% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
| 1150 | 1014 | 69% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1150 | 44% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1150 | 54% | 2015-06-16 | Won |
| 1170 | 1012 | 71% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1068 | 1041 | 54% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1098 | 34% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1099 | 47% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1113 | 40% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 970 | 1099 | 32% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1117 | 1412 | 15% | 2013-06-16 | Tied |
| 1412 | 1113 | 85% | 2013-06-13 | Lost |
| 821 | 1007 | 26% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 1264 | 1290 | 46% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1173 | 1310 | 31% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 932 | 1310 | 10% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1032 | 51% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
| 1125 | 1121 | 51% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1131 | 36% | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1063.9 has a 49.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).