Third Time's The Charm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (4 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 934 | 77% | 2021-02-25 | Won |
| 1012 | 985 | 54% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 939 | 1221 | 16% | 2015-03-02 | Lost |
| 1034 | 967 | 60% | 2012-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 1026.8 has a 50.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).