The Gin Drinker's Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (25 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 43
Defender wins (British): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1048 | 29% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 844 | 1012 | 28% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 968 | 57% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1126 | 1207 | 39% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1021 | 881 | 69% | 2021-12-07 | Tied |
| 1126 | 1147 | 47% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1103 | 1117 | 48% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1047 | 959 | 62% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 965 | 802 | 72% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1180 | 33% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1081 | 874 | 77% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 988 | 53% | 2018-02-13 | Won |
| 1149 | 1013 | 69% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1149 | 1044 | 65% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1045 | 1067 | 47% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 1256 | 917 | 88% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 873 | 1344 | 6% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1128 | 60% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1054 | 982 | 60% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 1199 | 1128 | 60% | 2013-11-06 | Lost |
| 1102 | 965 | 69% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 923 | 1125 | 24% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2013-08-16 | Won |
| 1004 | 1057 | 42% | 2013-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1040.9 has a 51.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).