The Gin Drinker's Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (30 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (British): 47
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1180 | 22% | 2025-05-04 | Lost |
| 934 | 1013 | 39% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 1055 | 1042 | 52% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 914 | 900 | 52% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 960 | 839 | 67% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1181 | 50% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1152 | 1120 | 55% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1003 | 943 | 59% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1181 | 877 | 85% | 2021-12-07 | Tied |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1154 | 1117 | 55% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 995 | 56% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 1012 | 749 | 82% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1077 | 72% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 864 | 70% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 988 | 53% | 2018-02-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1042 | 1066 | 47% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 1330 | 917 | 92% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 1099 | 1264 | 28% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1132 | 57% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 1181 | 1132 | 57% | 2013-11-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 964 | 73% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 1125 | 34% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2013-08-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1038.6 has a 56.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).