By Fire and Flame
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2025-01-30 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1020 | 53% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 912 | 1146 | 21% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1329 | 32% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
| 738 | 976 | 20% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2013-11-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1220 | 33% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 917 | 1036 | 34% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1014.1 vs 1097.7 has a 38.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).