By Fire and Flame
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2025-01-30 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1029 | 69% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 922 | 1141 | 22% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1316 | 34% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
| 789 | 978 | 25% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2013-11-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1209 | 34% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 933 | 1014 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1099.3 has a 41.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).