The Sangshak Redemption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (38 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 68
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 65
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1186 | 46% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1045 | 53% | 2024-07-15 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1244 | 45% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 922 | 1007 | 38% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 1069 | 48% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 1055 | 943 | 66% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1209 | 753 | 93% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
| 1209 | 753 | 93% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 952 | 1147 | 25% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1087 | 47% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1061 | 58% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 1107 | 36% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1162 | 46% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1027 | 965 | 59% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 1061 | 1106 | 44% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1108 | 73% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1130 | 1058 | 60% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
| 919 | 982 | 41% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 1082 | 919 | 72% | 2014-05-03 | Won |
| 1038 | 918 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 918 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1081 | 1014 | 60% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 979 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-03-12 | Won |
| 945 | 916 | 54% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 1008 | 57% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2012-10-28 | Won |
| 994 | 1014 | 47% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1067.9 vs 1026 has a 56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).