Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (17 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 50
Defender wins (German (SS)): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1267 | 1029 | 80% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1063 | 1134 | 40% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1116 | 1000 | 66% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 967 | 57% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
| 945 | 1103 | 29% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1054 | 56% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
| 987 | 1024 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1312 | 37% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1102 | 30% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 1051 | 877 | 73% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 1104 | 1104 | 50% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1104 | 50% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1027 | 52% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 1089 | 23% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1046.8 has a 51.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).