Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (19 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1194 | 47% | 2025-06-17 | Lost |
| 1423 | 1157 | 82% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 946 | 70% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1006 | 57% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 885 | 1136 | 19% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 941 | 902 | 56% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1116 | 18% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1071 | 54% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2014-01-13 | Won |
| 986 | 1024 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1253 | 45% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 994 | 1007 | 48% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 878 | 1127 | 19% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1065.5 has a 47.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).