Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (16 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 49
Defender wins (German (SS)): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1255 | 1017 | 80% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
968 | 983 | 48% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
1068 | 1020 | 57% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
1056 | 960 | 63% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
932 | 1000 | 40% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
818 | 1213 | 9% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
1100 | 1010 | 63% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
987 | 1024 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
1220 | 1184 | 55% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
918 | 1157 | 20% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
1051 | 886 | 72% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
986 | 1005 | 47% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
1071 | 967 | 65% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
1098 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
932 | 1059 | 32% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027.9 vs 1021.3 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).