Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (15 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 48
Defender wins (German (SS)): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1360 | 816 | 96% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
1095 | 953 | 69% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
1108 | 1008 | 64% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
961 | 919 | 56% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
856 | 1204 | 12% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
1105 | 1068 | 55% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
988 | 1025 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
1221 | 1307 | 38% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
987 | 1095 | 35% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
1015 | 1003 | 52% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
977 | 1088 | 35% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.6 vs 1017.2 has a 53.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).