Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (18 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 50
Defender wins (German (SS)): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1080 | 45% | 2025-06-16 | Lost |
| 1412 | 1151 | 82% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 1067 | 54% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1157 | 952 | 76% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1005 | 63% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 883 | 1116 | 21% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 847 | 902 | 42% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
| 987 | 1024 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1310 | 37% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
| 960 | 1111 | 30% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 1019 | 45% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 998 | 1100 | 36% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1067.6 has a 45.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).