Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (19 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 51
Defender wins (German (SS)): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1095 | 43% | 2025-06-16 | Lost |
| 1413 | 1112 | 85% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1153 | 950 | 76% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1004 | 63% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 885 | 1120 | 21% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 848 | 903 | 42% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
| 858 | 1151 | 16% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1066 | 55% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2014-01-13 | Won |
| 986 | 1024 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1313 | 37% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
| 960 | 1117 | 29% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 1001 | 48% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 998 | 1101 | 36% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1047.8 has a 49.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).