Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (19 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1105 | 42% | 2025-06-16 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1114 | 85% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 953 | 76% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1004 | 59% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 885 | 1135 | 19% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 890 | 902 | 48% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
| 858 | 1133 | 17% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1067 | 55% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2014-01-13 | Won |
| 986 | 1024 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1333 | 34% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
| 960 | 1117 | 29% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 974 | 53% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 927 | 1112 | 26% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1047.8 has a 49.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).