Dawn's Early Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (5 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 780 | 86% | 2024-05-27 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1043 | 71% | 2024-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 780 | 81% | 2021-09-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2013-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2012-12-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1078.2 vs 949 has a 67.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).