Dawn's Early Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (5 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 779 | 91% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 779 | 81% | 2021-09-15 | Won |
| 1042 | 1033 | 51% | 2013-07-23 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1106 | 43% | 2012-12-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1100.8 vs 953.8 has a 69.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).