It's Hardly Fair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (23 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 973 | 62% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1082 | 44% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 1173 | 57% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 1085 | 1223 | 31% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 1102 | 56% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1084 | 42% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 1110 | 32% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1193 | 26% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1219 | 24% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 987 | 943 | 56% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
| 928 | 982 | 42% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 915 | 1121 | 23% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 932 | 65% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2013-03-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 977 | 58% | 2013-02-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1121 | 26% | 2013-01-13 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1058 has a 46.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).