Rage Against the Machine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 249 (65 on the archive and 184 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 124
Defender wins (German): 125
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1209 | 1200 | 51% | 2026-02-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2024-12-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2024-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1198 | 1000 | 76% | 2023-09-10 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1038 | 53% | 2023-03-04 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1132 | 44% | 2023-03-04 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1038 | 52% | 2023-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1033 | 54% | 2023-01-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1198 | 24% | 2021-08-09 | | Lost |
| 732 | 1258 | 5% | 2021-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-06-26 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2021-06-02 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1034 | 65% | 2020-09-21 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-07-27 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-07-06 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2020-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-08-03 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 993 | 70% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2019-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1024 | 66% | 2018-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 966 | 73% | 2018-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2018-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2017-10-02 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2017-09-30 | | Won |
| 1162 | 1035 | 68% | 2017-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2017-08-12 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1143 | 38% | 2016-07-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2016-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 692 | 90% | 2015-11-01 | | Lost |
| 955 | 891 | 59% | 2015-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1013 | 63% | 2015-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1056 | 57% | 2014-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 941 | 69% | 2014-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2014-05-25 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1028 | 41% | 2014-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1155 | 1108 | 57% | 2014-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-03-31 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1126 | 57% | 2013-11-08 | | Won |
| 967 | 1126 | 29% | 2013-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-10-07 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1055 | 37% | 2013-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-10-03 | | Won |
| 1209 | 1037 | 73% | 2013-08-18 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2013-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2013-06-19 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2013-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-04-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2013-04-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2013-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1253 | 996 | 81% | 2013-03-08 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2013-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2012-12-22 | | Won |
| 1160 | 1099 | 59% | 2012-12-14 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1042.9 has a 51.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).