Red Banner Days
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2025-09-16 | D | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-05-06 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-09-27 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1315 | 22% | 2015-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 1000 | 86% | 2014-03-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2013-05-22 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1055.1 has a 50.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).