Red Banner Days
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 927 | 854 | 60% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2018-09-27 | Won |
| 1091 | 1320 | 21% | 2015-08-10 | Lost |
| 1320 | 1009 | 86% | 2014-03-09 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1076 vs 1062.6 has a 51.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).