Rolling Thunder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
| 1075 | 1086 | 48% | 2021-10-26 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1041 | 68% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1087.3 vs 1033.3 has a 57.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).