Chapel Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Axis): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2026-04-04 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1076 | 47% | 2021-12-21 | Lost |
| 851 | 968 | 34% | 2019-02-02 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2013-04-17 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1049.8 has a 43.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).