Severnaya Serenade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2022-06-16 | | Won |
| 949 | 780 | 73% | 2021-11-12 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-07-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2014-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2013-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-05-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1064.5 vs 1019.2 has a 56.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).