Severnaya Serenade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1098 | 47% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1044 | 764 | 83% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1127 | 1115 | 52% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 984 | 1181 | 24% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2013-06-20 | Lost |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1085.8 vs 1014.7 has a 60.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).