Severnaya Serenade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1077 | 50% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 920 | 796 | 67% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1152 | 27% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2013-06-20 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1060.8 vs 1046.2 has a 52.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).