Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (25 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 868 | 83% | 2025-04-02 | Won |
| 1027 | 1050 | 47% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 948 | 1030 | 38% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1016 | 48% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1282 | 28% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 946 | 1110 | 28% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 927 | 1015 | 38% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1008 | 1225 | 22% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 1307 | 1038 | 82% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1050 | 1059 | 49% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 846 | 1282 | 8% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1142 | 49% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
| 943 | 895 | 57% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
| 1154 | 789 | 89% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 889 | 963 | 40% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 929 | 65% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 994 | 983 | 52% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
| 789 | 1068 | 17% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1133 | 37% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1038 | 1012 | 54% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2013-08-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 1038 | 48% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1017.4 vs 1044.7 has a 46.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).