Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (24 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 1054 | 50% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 961 | 1061 | 36% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1007 | 50% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 944 | 1110 | 28% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1119 | 1310 | 25% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 934 | 1018 | 38% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 954 | 1083 | 32% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 1304 | 1033 | 83% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 866 | 1310 | 7% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1118 | 53% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
| 924 | 941 | 48% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
| 1196 | 822 | 90% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 889 | 963 | 40% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
| 1022 | 929 | 63% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
| 822 | 1031 | 23% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1138 | 37% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 1029 | 49% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1047 | 1101 | 42% | 2013-08-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 1022 | 52% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 981 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1013.5 vs 1051.7 has a 44.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).