Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (30 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 54
Defender wins (Russian): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1144 | 28% | 2026-04-04 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1182 | 29% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1027 | 1064 | 45% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 868 | 78% | 2025-04-02 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 984 | 1126 | 31% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 966 | 1004 | 45% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1058 | 64% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1227 | 26% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 999 | 47% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1051 | 1044 | 51% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 1311 | 1057 | 81% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1082 | 1060 | 53% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 897 | 1227 | 13% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 848 | 60% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
| 1025 | 846 | 74% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 1112 | 698 | 92% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 891 | 963 | 40% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
| 1146 | 929 | 78% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 989 | 1263 | 17% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
| 999 | 983 | 52% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
| 698 | 1073 | 10% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1031 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1119 | 47% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2013-08-04 | Won |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1030.4 vs 1044 has a 48.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).