Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (27 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1250 | 1249 | 50% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1025 | 1029 | 49% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1102 | 868 | 79% | 2025-04-02 | Won |
| 1032 | 1040 | 49% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 980 | 1010 | 46% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 939 | 1058 | 34% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1193 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1019 | 1044 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 1302 | 1056 | 80% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 1037 | 50% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 896 | 1193 | 15% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
| 931 | 889 | 56% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
| 1191 | 756 | 92% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 890 | 963 | 40% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 929 | 73% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 1014 | 983 | 54% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
| 756 | 1074 | 14% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1042 | 58% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1174 | 39% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 1117 | 42% | 2013-08-04 | Won |
| 1020 | 1100 | 39% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1041.6 has a 48.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).