The Rag Tag Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1020 | 42% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 1068 | 54% | 2019-07-16 | Won |
| 974 | 764 | 77% | 2016-05-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1047 | 65% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 974.8 has a 60.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).