The Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (Romanian / German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1143 | 50% | 2021-08-08 | Won |
| 984 | 1054 | 40% | 2021-03-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1431 | 7% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1126 | 52% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-03-11 | Won |
| 1217 | 1147 | 60% | 2020-01-07 | Won |
| 1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2018-12-23 | Won |
| 1003 | 950 | 58% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-01-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1145.9 vs 1162.5 has a 47.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).