Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (Chinese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1031 | 66% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | 2023-04-28 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 997 | 994 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 951 | 1006 | 42% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
| 951 | 1006 | 42% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
| 1022 | 960 | 59% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 951 | 1131 | 26% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1021 | 56% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1130 | 37% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1256 | 26% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 879 | 741 | 69% | 2019-07-16 | Tied |
| 960 | 1256 | 15% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1215 | 1149 | 59% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 1149 | 51% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 741 | 879 | 31% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 987 | 55% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 1207 | 17% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
| 999 | 973 | 54% | 2014-06-29 | Won |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1015.6 vs 1044.8 has a 45.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).