Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (Chinese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | 2023-04-28 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1025 | 49% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1016 | 994 | 53% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 909 | 1006 | 36% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
| 909 | 1006 | 36% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
| 1017 | 960 | 58% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 951 | 1143 | 25% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1027 | 55% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1130 | 37% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1220 | 27% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1124 | 1176 | 43% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 879 | 1020 | 31% | 2019-07-16 | Tied |
| 960 | 1220 | 18% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1215 | 1149 | 59% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 1149 | 51% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1020 | 879 | 69% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 987 | 55% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 926 | 1206 | 17% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
| 999 | 974 | 54% | 2014-06-29 | Won |
| 1138 | 1149 | 48% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1017 vs 1053.8 has a 44.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).