Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (Chinese): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1040 | 40% | 2026-01-03 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2025-11-03 | Lost |
| 1307 | 999 | 85% | 2025-10-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 1307 | 15% | 2025-10-26 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1016 | 76% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1084 | 53% | 2023-04-28 | Lost |
| 993 | 1024 | 46% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 996 | 994 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 967 | 1006 | 44% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
| 967 | 1006 | 44% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
| 997 | 969 | 54% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 958 | 1125 | 28% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
| 1074 | 1046 | 54% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 1122 | 30% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1207 | 34% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1135 | 1179 | 44% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 878 | 973 | 37% | 2019-07-16 | Tied |
| 959 | 1207 | 19% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1216 | 1149 | 60% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 1149 | 51% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 973 | 878 | 63% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 987 | 55% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 1211 | 16% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 847 | 870 | 47% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
| 999 | 972 | 54% | 2014-06-29 | Won |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1020 | 61% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1053.2 has a 46.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).