Road Warriors
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (12 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2019-11-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2018-09-01 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-06-03 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1080 | 50% | 2017-07-28 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1004 | 80% | 2017-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2017-03-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2016-10-28 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2016-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1003 | 50% | 2014-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2013-10-07 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1079.3 has a 43.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).