Road Warriors
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2019-11-20 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2019-11-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 967 | 69% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1105 | 1044 | 59% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1128 | 1060 | 60% | 2016-10-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 1221 | 20% | 2016-03-14 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-05-28 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1005 | 67% | 2014-03-09 | Lost |
| 1124 | 998 | 67% | 2013-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1115.8 vs 1047.4 has a 59.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).