Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 10
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 891 | 87% | 2024-08-04 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-01-17 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2019-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 964 | 62% | 2016-04-01 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2016-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1195 | 1099 | 63% | 2016-01-27 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1214 | 21% | 2015-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1275 | 1071 | 76% | 2015-07-11 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-05-16 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1000 | 77% | 2014-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2014-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2014-03-03 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1064 | 55% | 2014-02-09 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2014-02-07 | | Tied |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2013-11-25 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-11-07 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 1046.1 has a 54.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).