Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (17 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 39
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1097 | 1283 | 26% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
958 | 831 | 68% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1088 | 970 | 66% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
1117 | 1105 | 52% | 2016-01-27 | Lost |
984 | 1172 | 25% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
1150 | 1068 | 62% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
1007 | 967 | 56% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
936 | 1093 | 29% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
1209 | 1300 | 37% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
1070 | 1128 | 42% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
1093 | 1159 | 41% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
1159 | 1070 | 63% | 2014-02-09 | Tied |
1093 | 1159 | 41% | 2014-02-07 | Tied |
1095 | 1127 | 45% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
1137 | 1089 | 57% | 2013-11-02 | Lost |
1049 | 1102 | 42% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1097 | 991 | 65% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1078.8 vs 1094.9 has a 47.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).