Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (21 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 43
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 891 | 87% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 1154 | 30% | 2024-01-17 | Lost |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 964 | 62% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 942 | 825 | 66% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1099 | 63% | 2016-01-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 1243 | 18% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1071 | 76% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1130 | 965 | 72% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
| 1225 | 1125 | 64% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1212 | 1239 | 46% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 951 | 61% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1143 | 47% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 1143 | 1030 | 66% | 2014-02-09 | Tied |
| 1125 | 1143 | 47% | 2014-02-07 | Tied |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2013-11-25 | Won |
| 1126 | 1132 | 49% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1077 | 1044 | 55% | 2013-11-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1100 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1105 | 49% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1105 vs 1069.4 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).