Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (20 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 43
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 879 | 87% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1093 | 1089 | 51% | 2024-01-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1218 | 33% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 972 | 61% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 891 | 825 | 59% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1099 | 54% | 2016-01-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1067 | 75% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 965 | 63% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
| 1205 | 805 | 91% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1210 | 1333 | 33% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1089 | 891 | 76% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1089 | 53% | 2014-02-09 | Tied |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2014-02-07 | Tied |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2013-11-25 | Won |
| 1100 | 1131 | 46% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1002 | 1039 | 45% | 2013-11-02 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1098 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1117 | 48% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 1034.6 has a 55.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).