Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (20 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 43
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 879 | 87% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1073 | 1089 | 48% | 2024-01-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1219 | 33% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 972 | 61% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 940 | 825 | 66% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1099 | 54% | 2016-01-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 1152 | 27% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1067 | 75% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1061 | 965 | 63% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
| 1159 | 1030 | 68% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1210 | 1333 | 33% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1044 | 57% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
| 1030 | 1153 | 33% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 1153 | 1091 | 59% | 2014-02-09 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1153 | 33% | 2014-02-07 | Tied |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2013-11-25 | Won |
| 1162 | 1131 | 54% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2013-11-02 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1098 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1117 | 48% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1098.7 vs 1058.5 has a 55.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).