Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (20 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 43
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 879 | 87% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 1074 | 48% | 2024-01-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 971 | 58% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 898 | 825 | 60% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1099 | 59% | 2016-01-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 1144 | 28% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1067 | 75% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 965 | 69% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
| 1206 | 1075 | 68% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1210 | 1340 | 32% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1072 | 891 | 74% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
| 1075 | 1113 | 45% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2014-02-09 | Tied |
| 1075 | 1113 | 45% | 2014-02-07 | Tied |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2013-11-25 | Won |
| 1110 | 1131 | 47% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1010 | 1028 | 47% | 2013-11-02 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1098 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1103 | 50% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1098.8 vs 1047.2 has a 57.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).