Yangtze Doodle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (21 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 43
Defender wins (Chinese): 26
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 953 | 50% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1161 | 1003 | 71% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1124 | 52% | 2023-07-23 | Won |
| 939 | 983 | 44% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1168 | 935 | 79% | 2020-06-25 | Won |
| 1055 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 964 | 61% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 1223 | 1133 | 63% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1081 | 45% | 2019-11-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 1190 | 34% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1142 | 1161 | 47% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2016-03-09 | Won |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1146 | 964 | 74% | 2014-04-02 | Won |
| 1151 | 1072 | 61% | 2014-02-21 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1059 | 992 | 60% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1023 | 910 | 66% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1040.5 has a 55.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).