Yangtze Doodle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (26 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 38
Defender wins (Chinese): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2025-09-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1029 | 64% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 946 | 956 | 49% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Won |
| 1063 | 1071 | 49% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1043 | 986 | 58% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1135 | 922 | 77% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1198 | 954 | 80% | 2020-06-25 | Won |
| 1056 | 1071 | 48% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 1135 | 927 | 77% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1082 | 51% | 2019-11-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1131 | 34% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 1057 | 63% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2016-03-09 | Won |
| 1094 | 1138 | 44% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1148 | 927 | 78% | 2014-04-02 | Won |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2014-02-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1254 | 36% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1046 | 52% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1065 | 919 | 70% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1097.6 vs 1049.7 has a 56.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).