Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (19 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 36
Defender wins (British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1021 | 65% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1064 | 1014 | 57% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 976 | 1027 | 43% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 1041 | 963 | 61% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 996 | 60% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1072 | 58% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 1024 | 997 | 54% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1102 | 60% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1117 | 51% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-03-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 894 | 73% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1140 | 32% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1118 | 72% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1098.8 vs 1032.3 has a 59.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).