Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (19 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 36
Defender wins (British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 1002 | 59% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 976 | 1033 | 42% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 964 | 53% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 995 | 59% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1042 | 63% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1042 | 63% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1131 | 1029 | 64% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 969 | 997 | 46% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1102 | 58% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1128 | 50% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2015-03-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 894 | 72% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1141 | 32% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1029 | 70% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1088.1 vs 1037.3 has a 57.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).