Ambush at De Hoop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (15 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (British): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1125 | 38% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1030 | 1132 | 36% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1144 | 1163 | 47% | 2020-06-14 | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-06-06 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 989 | 1081 | 37% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1066 | 939 | 68% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1243 | 1106 | 69% | 2018-12-28 | Won |
| 988 | 1125 | 31% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 988 | 1125 | 31% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1434 | 1426 | 51% | 2016-10-11 | Won |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1172 | 1125 | 57% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 983 | 57% | 2015-03-10 | Won |
| 1083 | 1243 | 28% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1094.1 vs 1115.3 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).