Fontenay By Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (12 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 19
Defender wins (German (SS)): 28
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1040 | 946 | 63% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 1113 | 1161 | 43% | 2019-11-29 | Lost |
| 993 | 984 | 51% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2017-12-05 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1127 | 46% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 962 | 930 | 55% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1007 | 1129 | 33% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1025 | 75% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1070.7 vs 1034.1 has a 55.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).