Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-11-18 | | Won |
| 1053 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-05-02 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2022-12-11 | | Won |
| 1023 | 913 | 65% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 1291 | 939 | 88% | 2018-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2017-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2015-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 979 | 62% | 2015-06-26 | | Won |
| 1064 | 979 | 62% | 2015-06-26 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-06-21 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2014-11-20 | | Won |
| 967 | 891 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2014-09-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-09-21 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-09-18 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1078.1 vs 1004.2 has a 60.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).