Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1124 | 50% | 2024-11-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 1073 | 47% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1167 | 1228 | 41% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1133 | 914 | 78% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1252 | 939 | 86% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1057 | 46% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1202 | 45% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1086 | 927 | 71% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1086 | 927 | 71% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
| 967 | 890 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2014-09-24 | Won |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1114.9 vs 1037.9 has a 60.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).