Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1156 | 1254 | 36% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
1153 | 938 | 78% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
1033 | 1083 | 43% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
1049 | 994 | 58% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
1049 | 994 | 58% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
1049 | 1131 | 38% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
967 | 887 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1059.5 has a 54.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).