Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2024-11-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 1073 | 47% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1179 | 1228 | 43% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1112 | 913 | 76% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1256 | 938 | 86% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1028 | 50% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1152 | 52% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1102 | 938 | 72% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1102 | 938 | 72% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1109 | 1092 | 52% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 1102 | 1133 | 46% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
| 967 | 890 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2014-09-24 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1035 | 47% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1114.9 vs 1033.3 has a 61.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).