Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (31 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 55
Defender wins (German): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 738 | 90% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 982 | 56% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1160 | 30% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1078 | 909 | 73% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1022 | 1174 | 29% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1022 | 71% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1154 | 912 | 80% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 960 | 1181 | 22% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1163 | 46% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1052 | 40% | 2015-10-11 | Won |
| 1226 | 1219 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 890 | 1135 | 20% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1163 | 32% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 963 | 1009 | 43% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 964 | 1022 | 42% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 881 | 1115 | 21% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1149 | 56% | 2015-06-24 | Won |
| 1329 | 968 | 89% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2015-03-20 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1107 | 36% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 861 | 1060 | 24% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1042 has a 51.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).