Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (16 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-06-16 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1112 | 52% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1050 | 48% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 864 | 942 | 39% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1091 | 1193 | 36% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 741 | 1215 | 6% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1177 | 1152 | 54% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1201 | 42% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1333 | 1011 | 86% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1333 | 1000 | 87% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1226 | 1046 | 74% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1109.3 vs 1066.8 has a 56.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).