Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (16 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-06-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1111 | 43% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1118 | 38% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 1186 | 37% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 1277 | 1215 | 59% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1178 | 1152 | 54% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1205 | 43% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1329 | 1011 | 86% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1329 | 1000 | 87% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1277 | 34% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1226 | 1047 | 74% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1139.9 vs 1103.2 has a 55.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).