Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (15 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2024-06-16 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1109 | 46% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1121 | 38% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1223 | 31% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 1032 | 1224 | 25% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1133 | 43% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1205 | 41% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1026 | 55% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1316 | 1011 | 85% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1316 | 1000 | 86% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 1043 | 60% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1032 | 67% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 990 | 79% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1116.6 vs 1081.8 has a 54.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).