Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 1119 | 60% | 2026-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1140 | 34% | 2022-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 947 | 91% | 2021-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2020-06-19 | | Lost |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2020-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2017-10-28 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1127 | 42% | 2017-10-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2017-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1156 | 36% | 2016-12-03 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2016-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2016-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1049 | 64% | 2015-08-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1019 | 76% | 2015-03-08 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2015-03-07 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1056 | 57% | 2015-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-12-16 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-11-06 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1125.8 vs 1053.4 has a 60.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).