Coal in Their Stockings
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (23 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 56
Defender wins (German): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
961 | 942 | 53% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
1175 | 937 | 80% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
937 | 1175 | 20% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
1124 | 1026 | 64% | 2022-02-26 | Lost |
1026 | 1038 | 48% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
959 | 1008 | 43% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
959 | 1008 | 43% | 2020-05-06 | Lost |
1023 | 971 | 57% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
1012 | 1095 | 38% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
971 | 1087 | 34% | 2019-09-02 | Lost |
998 | 1028 | 46% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
1198 | 1079 | 66% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
954 | 1037 | 38% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
1142 | 1175 | 45% | 2018-01-27 | Won |
1095 | 1116 | 47% | 2017-07-06 | Won |
1008 | 1083 | 39% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
1109 | 1090 | 53% | 2016-10-13 | Lost |
1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
1180 | 1117 | 59% | 2016-06-10 | Won |
1324 | 1307 | 52% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
1022 | 1197 | 27% | 2015-03-13 | Won |
925 | 971 | 43% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1075.5 has a 46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).