Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (Japanese): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1099 | 34% | 2026-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 1021 | 72% | 2025-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2025-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2025-01-25 | | Won |
| 1031 | 944 | 62% | 2023-11-27 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2023-10-21 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2023-10-21 | | Lost |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2023-09-24 | | Won |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2023-09-24 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1028 | 50% | 2023-08-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2022-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 975 | 72% | 2022-06-07 | | Lost |
| 919 | 1078 | 29% | 2022-05-23 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1167 | 22% | 2022-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2022-04-29 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1011 | 44% | 2022-04-22 | | Won |
| 1161 | 1187 | 46% | 2022-04-19 | | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2020-10-28 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1028 | 35% | 2020-04-10 | | Won |
| 1126 | 991 | 69% | 2020-02-21 | | Tied |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-11-27 | | Lost |
| 886 | 1000 | 34% | 2019-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-17 | | Won |
| 1103 | 966 | 69% | 2018-06-09 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2017-08-13 | | Won |
| 1041 | 1060 | 47% | 2017-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2016-11-25 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2016-04-17 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2015-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2015-09-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2015-01-19 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1033.4 vs 1036.2 has a 49.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).