Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (Japanese): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1132 | 60% | 2026-10-16 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2026-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1284 | 1015 | 82% | 2025-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 873 | 68% | 2025-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2025-01-25 | | Won |
| 987 | 945 | 56% | 2023-11-27 | | Lost |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2023-10-21 | | Lost |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2023-10-21 | | Lost |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2023-09-24 | | Won |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2023-09-24 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-08-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2022-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 949 | 75% | 2022-06-07 | | Lost |
| 919 | 1078 | 29% | 2022-05-23 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1183 | 21% | 2022-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2022-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 954 | 57% | 2022-04-22 | | Won |
| 1161 | 1284 | 33% | 2022-04-19 | | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2020-10-28 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1050 | 32% | 2020-04-10 | | Won |
| 1136 | 981 | 71% | 2020-02-21 | | Tied |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2019-11-27 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2019-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-17 | | Won |
| 1103 | 921 | 74% | 2018-06-09 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-08-13 | | Won |
| 1041 | 1059 | 47% | 2017-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1167 | 37% | 2016-11-25 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2016-04-17 | | Won |
| 1184 | 1000 | 74% | 2015-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-09-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2015-01-19 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1039.5 has a 50.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).