Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (29 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (Japanese): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 900 | 52% | 2025-04-06 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1056 | 71% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 963 | 69% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1019 | 1084 | 41% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2022-06-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 970 | 68% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1063 | 30% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 1073 | 33% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1132 | 34% | 2022-04-29 | Lost |
| 1032 | 917 | 66% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 1266 | 28% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 875 | 1106 | 21% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 933 | 1019 | 38% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1157 | 966 | 75% | 2020-02-21 | Tied |
| 1218 | 1085 | 68% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 877 | 1014 | 31% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1137 | 49% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 998 | 63% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1057 | 1056 | 50% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1122 | 44% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1170 | 1014 | 71% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1014 | 66% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1136 | 1066 | 60% | 2015-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1040.8 has a 50.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).