Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (31 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-04-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1086 | 921 | 72% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1079 | 39% | 2022-06-22 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1045 | 49% | 2022-04-29 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1000 | 51% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1005 | 1000 | 51% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1019 | 913 | 65% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 920 | 930 | 49% | 2020-02-21 | Tied |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 878 | 74% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1096 | 47% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 995 | 995 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1017 | 52% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1106 | 41% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2015-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1010.3 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).