Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (30 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (Japanese): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1279 | 1027 | 81% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 917 | 869 | 57% | 2025-04-06 | Lost |
| 955 | 1037 | 38% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1085 | 973 | 66% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 1012 | 969 | 56% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1012 | 969 | 56% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 1012 | 44% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 969 | 1012 | 44% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1018 | 1082 | 41% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2022-06-22 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1013 | 64% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1074 | 29% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 958 | 1095 | 31% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2022-04-29 | Lost |
| 1001 | 992 | 51% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1170 | 1279 | 35% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 1053 | 31% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1090 | 981 | 65% | 2020-02-21 | Tied |
| 1194 | 1086 | 65% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 879 | 986 | 35% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 894 | 77% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 1040 | 39% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2015-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1041.8 has a 49.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).