Armored Car Savikurki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (32 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 49
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1049 | 32% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1112 | 49% | 2024-09-21 | Won |
| 996 | 1186 | 25% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 989 | 978 | 52% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2023-11-22 | Won |
| 1158 | 946 | 77% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 946 | 1158 | 23% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1117 | 1109 | 51% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2019-12-04 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2019-03-06 | Won |
| 1017 | 1226 | 23% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2018-07-14 | Won |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2018-03-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2018-01-10 | Lost |
| 879 | 1107 | 21% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1340 | 29% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1022 | 48% | 2016-04-10 | Won |
| 1183 | 1109 | 60% | 2016-04-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1254 | 938 | 86% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | 2015-07-29 | Won |
| 1003 | 1200 | 24% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
| 1020 | 1078 | 42% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1254 | 973 | 83% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1078.2 vs 1075.3 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).