Armored Car Savikurki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (35 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 59
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 965 | 57% | 2026-02-16 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1072 | 50% | 2025-12-19 | Won |
| 909 | 1038 | 32% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2024-09-21 | Won |
| 963 | 1175 | 23% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 989 | 966 | 53% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1216 | 974 | 80% | 2023-11-22 | Won |
| 1205 | 946 | 82% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 946 | 1205 | 18% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 948 | 1012 | 41% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1131 | 51% | 2019-12-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2019-03-06 | Won |
| 983 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2018-07-14 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2018-03-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2018-01-10 | Lost |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
| 934 | 1147 | 23% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1066 | 1059 | 51% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1232 | 42% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1022 | 48% | 2016-04-10 | Won |
| 1175 | 1108 | 60% | 2016-04-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1221 | 939 | 84% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 1036 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-07-29 | Won |
| 1264 | 1338 | 40% | 2015-07-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 1201 | 26% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
| 1006 | 1134 | 32% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1221 | 954 | 82% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 1076.7 has a 49.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).