Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 944 | 71% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1070 | 51% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1187 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 965 | 931 | 55% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1002 | 78% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1024 | 75% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1163 | 890 | 83% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 898 | 959 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1024 | 65% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1042 | 1133 | 37% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 884 | 876 | 51% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 969 | 1156 | 25% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 1041 | 42% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2015-05-29 | Lost |
| 965 | 1036 | 40% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1030.9 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).