Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (12 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1104 | 1179 | 39% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
984 | 1179 | 25% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
1013 | 1022 | 49% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
1188 | 984 | 76% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
1076 | 887 | 75% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
895 | 977 | 38% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
1144 | 1058 | 62% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
1046 | 1131 | 38% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
959 | 877 | 62% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
1087 | 1024 | 59% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
1013 | 1128 | 34% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 1042 has a 49.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).