Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (14 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1076 | 31% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1170 | 53% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1180 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1006 | 928 | 61% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1148 | 920 | 79% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 989 | 38% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1076 | 889 | 75% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 897 | 958 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1133 | 989 | 70% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1036 | 1133 | 36% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 846 | 877 | 46% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1025 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1050 | 49% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1126 | 33% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1016.8 vs 1022.1 has a 49.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).