Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1138 | 45% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1184 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 985 | 931 | 58% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1045 | 76% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1162 | 891 | 83% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 897 | 959 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 879 | 876 | 50% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1155 | 35% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1041 | 55% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2015-05-29 | Lost |
| 985 | 1035 | 43% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1036.9 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).