Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (15 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 962 | 67% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1190 | 51% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1180 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 927 | 900 | 54% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1009 | 75% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1149 | 865 | 84% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1024 | 48% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1049 | 889 | 72% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 896 | 958 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1195 | 865 | 87% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1061 | 1132 | 40% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 966 | 877 | 63% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1145 | 37% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1040 | 50% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 927 | 1041 | 34% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1005.1 has a 56.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).