The Katanas Come Out at Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1056 | 63% | 2026-06-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 948 | 981 | 45% | 2023-08-09 | Tied |
| 1263 | 1228 | 55% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 981 | 879 | 64% | 2021-09-02 | Tied |
| 1099 | 970 | 68% | 2017-07-25 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-08-07 | Won |
| 1016 | 1059 | 44% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 965 | 69% | 2016-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 1044.9 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).