The Katanas Come Out at Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1120 | 45% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-08-09 | Tied |
| 1032 | 877 | 71% | 2021-09-02 | Tied |
| 1219 | 975 | 80% | 2017-07-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-08-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1058 | 39% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 899 | 966 | 40% | 2016-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031 vs 1028.3 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).