Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (19 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1026 | 53% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1046 | 892 | 71% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 944 | 1012 | 40% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 969 | 966 | 50% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1059 | 1211 | 29% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1214 | 890 | 87% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1108 | 49% | 2018-12-02 | Won |
| 1118 | 1164 | 43% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 911 | 897 | 52% | 2017-08-06 | Won |
| 954 | 918 | 55% | 2017-08-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1006 | 53% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1108 | 1260 | 29% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 897 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1152 | 53% | 2016-03-15 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1109 | 53% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 1091 | 1113 | 47% | 2015-11-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1037 | 53% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1041.2 has a 53.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).