Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (19 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1006 | 44% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 935 | 919 | 52% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 995 | 1000 | 49% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1039 | 987 | 57% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1164 | 845 | 86% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1105 | 51% | 2018-12-02 | Won |
| 967 | 959 | 51% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 931 | 896 | 55% | 2017-08-06 | Won |
| 974 | 1037 | 41% | 2017-08-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1068 | 31% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 1178 | 34% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1188 | 1185 | 50% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 896 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2016-03-15 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 1069 | 1113 | 44% | 2015-11-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 1109 | 39% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1024.3 has a 51.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).