Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (20 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1104 | 1042 | 59% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1083 | 922 | 72% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 1066 | 49% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 962 | 960 | 50% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1176 | 36% | 2018-12-02 | Won |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-08-06 | Won |
| 945 | 906 | 56% | 2017-08-01 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1108 | 1186 | 39% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 898 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1190 | 1199 | 49% | 2016-03-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1096 | 52% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 1102 | 1112 | 49% | 2015-11-05 | Won |
| 948 | 1059 | 35% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1045.9 has a 53.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).