Nikolai's Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (4 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian/German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1188 | 14% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 1100 | 31% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1150 | 41% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1025.8 vs 1145.3 has a 33.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).