Nikolai's Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (3 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian/German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1115 | 52% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 1151 | 25% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1149 | 43% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1138.3 has a 39.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).