Nikolai's Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (3 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Hungarian/German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 1163 | 24% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1149 | 43% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1142.3 has a 38.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).