Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (French): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1194 | 32% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1205 | 40% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 1031 | 58% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 1029 | 930 | 64% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1085 | 51% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
| 884 | 1029 | 30% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1053 | 55% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1151 | 49% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1066.4 vs 1084.8 has a 47.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).