Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
| 969 | 1025 | 42% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 918 | 63% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 920 | 1257 | 13% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1002.4 vs 1064.1 has a 41.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).