Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
1141 | 1113 | 54% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
1018 | 966 | 57% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
997 | 918 | 61% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
1040 | 1195 | 29% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1023.1 vs 1047.4 has a 46.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).