Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1033 | 65% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1210 | 945 | 82% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 911 | 925 | 48% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 996 | 63% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 931 | 949 | 47% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1088 | 37% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 1082 | 28% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1142 | 49% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 885 | 87% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1061 | 48% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1316 | 988 | 87% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 1316 | 21% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 983 | 62% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1099.1 vs 1030.5 has a 59.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).