Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1054 | 55% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1260 | 947 | 86% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 939 | 59% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1066 | 996 | 60% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 950 | 53% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1066 | 40% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 1089 | 27% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1079 | 930 | 70% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1024 | 55% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1252 | 988 | 82% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 1252 | 25% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1037 | 55% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1091.9 vs 1026.7 has a 59.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).