Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1054 | 57% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1206 | 947 | 82% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 931 | 939 | 49% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1089 | 996 | 63% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 950 | 53% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1089 | 37% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 1059 | 31% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1123 | 929 | 75% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1206 | 1075 | 68% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1029 | 54% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1075 | 55% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1340 | 988 | 88% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1071 | 1340 | 18% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1047 | 53% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1091 vs 1045.3 has a 56.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).