Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1054 | 55% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1241 | 948 | 84% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 964 | 939 | 54% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1066 | 996 | 60% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 979 | 950 | 54% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1066 | 40% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 906 | 998 | 37% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1083 | 902 | 74% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1241 | 1023 | 78% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 969 | 62% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1023 | 65% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1251 | 988 | 82% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1251 | 25% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1018 | 58% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1086.3 vs 1019.6 has a 59.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).