Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1035 | 60% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1141 | 947 | 75% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 996 | 61% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 967 | 950 | 52% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1074 | 39% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 1123 | 24% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1198 | 877 | 86% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1051 | 51% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 991 | 69% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1333 | 988 | 88% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1063 | 51% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1087.3 vs 1031.9 has a 57.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).