Dare-Death and the Iron Division
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (Chinese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2025-11-13 | Won |
| 1002 | 1026 | 47% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 1006 | 59% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1032 | 61% | 2023-08-23 | Lost |
| 926 | 1077 | 30% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1046 | 977 | 60% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1125 | 64% | 2017-02-01 | Won |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 1019 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1056 | 986 | 60% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1060.1 has a 49.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).